Cyberattack shuts down ports 💻✋🏽

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In today’s email:

  • Up & Down: 🌊 Mixed seas for shipping lines as cashflow forecasts slashed.  

  • More Power: 🔋 The engines behind the worlds largest container vessels.

  • Cyber Attack: 🦘 Australian ports shutdown due to cyber breach.

SHIPPING NEWS

Boom & Bust Times For Shipping Lines

After a pandemic-induced profit surge, the global container shipping industry, which is responsible for transporting 80% of the world’s merchandise, faces a stark reversal of fortunes. Here’s a deeper look at the numbers underpinning this dramatic shift:

From Unprecedented Profits to Looming Losses:

  • The industry enjoyed a windfall with a combined net income of $364 billion in 2021 and 2022. This boom was fueled by a pandemic-driven spike in global shipping demand.

  • However, current forecasts paint a different picture. Industry giants like A.P. Moller-Maersk predict a significant downturn in their financial health. Maersk, for instance, anticipates an 80% reduction in free cash flow this year, with the risk of turning negative by 2024.

Supply Glut Following Demand Surge:

  • During the pandemic, freight rates soared due to a sharp increase in demand and a shortage of shipping capacity. Rates on some major routes increased by several hundred percent.

  • Presently, the industry faces an oversupply problem. As new, larger ships enter service, there's a decrease in freight rates. The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index, a barometer for shipping rates, has reported a significant drop in average rates year-over-year.

Financial Pressures and Industry Response:

  • In response to these challenges, shipping companies are implementing cost-cutting measures, including reducing operational capacity. Some have cancelled voyages or suspended services on less profitable routes.

  • The Bloomberg Intelligence report highlighted that larger companies are focusing on cost-cutting rather than aggressive capacity reductions.

Investment Requirements for Decarbonization:

  • The industry is also grappling with the need for substantial investments in cleaner technologies. The estimated cost for the industry's shift to decarbonization is around $1 trillion in the coming decades.

Diversification as a Strategy:

  • To mitigate market volatility, companies like CMA CGM are diversifying their business models. They're investing in sectors like airlines, logistics, and media, using the profits from the pandemic period to stabilize their operations in the face of current challenges.

The statistics and developments in the container shipping industry reflect a sector at a crucial crossroads. After riding the wave of high demand and profits, companies are now adjusting strategies to navigate a new reality marked by oversupply, looming financial pressures, and the urgent need for sustainable transformation.

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VIDEO OF THE WEEK

The Crazy Amount of Power Needed to Move the World’s Largest Container Ships

Delve into the inner workings of the enormous engines propelling today's container ships. Discover the complex engineering and technological advancements involved in constructing these massive powerhouses, which are crucial for modern maritime transport and global trade.

GLOBAL TRADE SNIPPETS

Global air freight rates are still rising as peak season continues, according to the latest data from TAC Index, the leading price reporting agency for air freight. The overall Baltic Air Freight Index rose a further 4.4 percent in the week to November 13 following a series of gains in September and October, cutting the year-on-year decline to only 26.4 percent."

Freight Forwarding Market Size/Share Worth USD 320 Billion by 2032 at a 5.5% CAGR. According to the latest research study, the demand of global Freight Forwarding Market size & share was valued at approximately USD 200 Billion in 2022 and is expected to reach USD 212 Billion in 2023 and is expected to reach a value of around USD 320 Billion by 2032.

Value of EU trade deals surpasses €2 trillion. The European Commission report shows that trade with our top 20 trade agreement partners grew by close to 30% on average in 2022. The Commission, working with Member States and EU businesses, also broke down over 30 barriers to trade in 19 countries. Tackling barriers over the last five years helped unlock 7 billion euros of EU exports in 2022 alone

Autonomous Trucks Reshaping the Freight Industry. Autonomous trucking, once regarded as the stuff of science fiction, is gradually moving closer to viability in real-world freight operations after years of investment, development work and on-road testing and validation.

TRADE NEWS

Cyberattack Paralyzes Major Australian Ports

DP World, a major player in global port operations, is currently grappling with a backlog of 30,000 shipping containers at key Australian ports due to a cyberattack that occurred on November 10th. The hack, which targeted one of the world's largest port operators, led to a temporary shutdown at the eastern ports of Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane, and at Fremantle in the west. Although operations partially resumed on November 13th, ongoing investigations and efforts to bolster network security are expected to cause further service disruptions.

On the day of resumption, DP World managed to process about 5,000 containers across the four ports, a figure substantially lower than the usual daily throughput. The recovery process is further hampered by upcoming local strikes, suggesting that normal operations might not be restored until the following week, according to a company spokesperson.

DP World's significant role in the Australian maritime trade, handling nearly 40% of the country's imports and exports, highlights the extensive economic and commercial impact of an attack on a single entity. This incident adds to a growing list of high-profile cyberattacks this year, including one on the Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., the world's largest bank by assets, which disrupted certain Treasury market transactions.

As automation increases and reliance on paper documentation decreases in ports, the risk of cyber threats such as ransomware attacks becomes more pronounced. These attacks involve hackers taking control of systems and demanding payment for their release.

In light of DP World's challenges, Clare O’Neil, the Australian Minister for Home Affairs and Cyber Security, has announced initiatives requiring businesses to report any ransom-related incidents, demands, or payments. The government will also issue a guide to help companies prepare for and respond to such ransom demands.

SHIPWRECK OF THE WEEK ⚓️☠️ 

The MV Salem Express was a roll-on/roll-off passenger ferry that operated for 25 years, connecting Jeddah in Saudi Arabia to Safaga in Egypt. She sank on December 11, 1991, after striking one of the Hyndman Reefs. Tragically more than 470 lives were lost making it one of the most controversial wrecks in the Red Sea.Click to see shipwreck 👀

Ninety Percent of Everything: Inside Shipping, the Invisible Industry That Puts Clothes on Your Back, Gas in Your Car, and Food on Your Plate: Rose George's "Ninety Percent of Everything" explores the critical yet often overlooked world of freight shipping. She describes how this invisible industry, pivotal to our economy and daily lives, is fraught with environmental issues, shady practices, and piracy risks. Traveling from Rotterdam to Singapore and patrolling with an antipiracy force, George provides a vivid, informative account of the challenges faced by this industry and its impact on the environment and global trade.

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness: "The Psychology of Money" by Morgan Housel emphasizes that financial success hinges more on behavior than knowledge. It challenges the notion that finance is just a math-based field, highlighting how personal experiences, perspectives, and emotions significantly influence financial decisions. Housel uses 19 stories to illustrate the complex psychology behind money, offering insights for better financial understanding.

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